Hluk vs Kozlovice: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie EDivision E - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Kozlovice the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Hluk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hluk vs Kozlovice?
Kozlovice starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,603).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Hluk have 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Kozlovice have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kroměříž II(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Šternberk(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strání(home) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FS Třebíč(away) | 5-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Brumov(home) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Šternberk(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Slavičín(home) | 4-3 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Strání(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bzenec(home) | 5-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Frýdek-Místek(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Hluk score 2.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 6; Kozlovice score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hluk | 2.3 | 2.7 | 0 | 6/6 | 5/6 |
| Kozlovice | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hluk sit 11th in 4. liga - Divizie E (1 points from 2 matches) and Kozlovice sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kozlovice | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Kozlovice | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Hluk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Hluk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hluk vs Kozlovice?
- The Footlab model makes Kozlovice the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Hluk.
- Where and when is Hluk vs Kozlovice played?
- Hluk vs Kozlovice is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the 4. liga - Divizie E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.