HNK Gorica vs Kustosija: result 1-0 and analysis
First NLRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 7, 2017 at 01:30 PM (UTC)ŠRC Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica
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What was the result of HNK Gorica vs Kustosija?
HNK Gorica won 1-0 on October 7, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HNK Gorica have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Kustosija have 0, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2017 | HNK Hajduk Split II(away) | 1-1 | First NL |
| Sep 27, 2017 | Solin(home) | 2-0 | First NL |
| Sep 23, 2017 | NK Varazdin(home) | 1-2 | First NL |
| Sep 16, 2017 | Lucko(away) | 2-0 | First NL |
| Sep 8, 2017 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac(home) | 1-0 | First NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2017 | Lucko(home) | 0-0 | First NL |
| Sep 27, 2017 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac(away) | 1-1 | First NL |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Novigrad(home) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Sep 16, 2017 | Dugopolje(away) | 0-2 | First NL |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Sibenik(home) | 0-1 | First NL |
How many goals should we expect?
HNK Gorica score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kustosija score 0.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Kustosija | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1 | 3/9 | 1/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kustosija | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy