Match

HO Kalken vs FC Lebbeke: prediction and stats

Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jozef Plaetinck Stadion, Kalken

HO KalkenFC Lebbeke

The Footlab model makes FC Lebbeke the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for HO Kalken. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win HO Kalken vs FC Lebbeke?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate HO Kalken (1,762) and FC Lebbeke (1,784).

HO Kalken win37 %
Draw25 %
FC Lebbeke win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HO Kalken have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; FC Lebbeke have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

HO Kalken
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Gullegem(away)0-5Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Apr 19, 2026Mandel United(home)0-2Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Apr 11, 2026Harelbeke(away)2-0Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Mar 29, 2026Zulte Waregem II(home)1-1Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Mar 21, 2026Diksmuide(away)0-3Second Amateur Division - VFV A
FC Lebbeke
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Zulte Waregem II(away)1-4Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Apr 18, 2026Harelbeke(home)1-1Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Apr 11, 2026RFC Wetteren(away)0-3Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Mar 28, 2026Gullegem(home)2-0Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Mar 22, 2026Torhout(away)0-6Second Amateur Division - VFV A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 HO Kalken win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FC Lebbeke win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026FC Lebbeke 1-3 HO KalkenSecond Amateur Division - VFV A
Nov 9, 2025HO Kalken 0-2 FC LebbekeSecond Amateur Division - VFV A

Last archived meeting: FC Lebbeke vs HO Kalken on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

HO Kalken score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Lebbeke score 0.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
HO Kalken1.12.519/1510/15
FC Lebbeke0.71.944/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

HO Kalken sit 9th in Second Amateur Division - VFV A (39 points from 30 matches) and FC Lebbeke sit 3rd (46 points from 30 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3FC Lebbeke3013710384046
9HO Kalken3011613425839

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for HO Kalken vs FC Lebbeke?
The Footlab model makes FC Lebbeke the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for HO Kalken.
Where and when is HO Kalken vs FC Lebbeke played?
HO Kalken vs FC Lebbeke is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jozef Plaetinck Stadion, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: HO Kalken and FC Lebbeke

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