Torhout vs Sparta Petegem: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Complex De Velodroom, Torhout
The Footlab model makes Torhout the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Sparta Petegem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torhout vs Sparta Petegem?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Torhout (1,767) and Sparta Petegem (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torhout have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Sparta Petegem have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Harelbeke(away) | 1-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Westhoek(home) | 3-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mechelen II(home) | 1-5 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | KRC Gent(away) | 4-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 22, 2026 | FC Lebbeke(home) | 6-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | KRC Gent(away) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | RFC Wetteren(home) | 4-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gullegem(away) | 1-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Westhoek(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Torhout win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Sparta Petegem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Sparta Petegem 4-1 Torhout | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Torhout 2-0 Sparta Petegem | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Torhout 0-3 Sparta Petegem | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Sparta Petegem 2-1 Torhout | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Sparta Petegem 1-1 Torhout | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Torhout 0-0 Sparta Petegem | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Petegem vs Torhout on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torhout score 2.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Petegem score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torhout | 2.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
| Sparta Petegem | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torhout sit 8th in Second Amateur Division - VFV A (41 points from 30 matches) and Sparta Petegem sit 7th (41 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sparta Petegem | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 41 |
| 8 | Torhout | 30 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 54 | 60 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torhout vs Sparta Petegem?
- The Footlab model makes Torhout the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Sparta Petegem.
- Where and when is Torhout vs Sparta Petegem played?
- Torhout vs Sparta Petegem is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Complex De Velodroom, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.