Oudenaarde vs Mechelen II: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Burgemeester Thienpontstadion, Oudenaarde
The Footlab model makes Mechelen II the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Oudenaarde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oudenaarde vs Mechelen II?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Oudenaarde (1,758) and Mechelen II (1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oudenaarde have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Mechelen II have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dender(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Club Brugge II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mechelen II(home) | 1-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Rupel Boom(home) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Torhout(away) | 5-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 1-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Oudenaarde win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Mechelen II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Oudenaarde 1-0 Mechelen II | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Mechelen II 0-0 Oudenaarde | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
Last archived meeting: Oudenaarde vs Mechelen II on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oudenaarde score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mechelen II score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oudenaarde | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Mechelen II | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oudenaarde sit 12th in Second Amateur Division - VFV A (35 points from 30 matches) and Mechelen II sit 13th (35 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Oudenaarde | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 54 | 35 |
| 13 | Mechelen II | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 58 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oudenaarde vs Mechelen II?
- The Footlab model makes Mechelen II the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Oudenaarde.
- Where and when is Oudenaarde vs Mechelen II played?
- Oudenaarde vs Mechelen II is played on September 26, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Burgemeester Thienpontstadion, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.