Hodio vs AS Cotonou: prediction and stats
Championnat NationalRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Comè, Comè
The Footlab model makes Hodio the favourite at 38%, against 35% for a draw and 27% for AS Cotonou. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hodio vs AS Cotonou?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Hodio (1,741) and AS Cotonou (1,740).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hodio have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; AS Cotonou have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Ayema(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Espoir Savalou(away) | 1-2 | Championnat National |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Dynamo Abomey(home) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | Cavaliers(away) | 2-0 | Championnat National |
| May 22, 2026 | Dadjè(home) | 5-1 | Championnat National |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Espoir Savalou(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | AS Sobemap(away) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Coton Sport Ouidah(home) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | Dadjè(away) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| May 22, 2026 | ASVO(home) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Hodio win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 AS Cotonou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Hodio 1-0 AS Cotonou | Championnat National |
| Oct 26, 2025 | AS Cotonou 0-0 Hodio | Championnat National |
| Jun 9, 2021 | AS Cotonou 2-2 Hodio | Championnat National |
| Apr 29, 2021 | Hodio 0-1 AS Cotonou | Championnat National |
How many goals should we expect?
Hodio score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AS Cotonou score 0.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hodio | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| AS Cotonou | 0.6 | 0.9 | 3 | 5/15 | 0/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hodio sit 9th in Championnat National (44 points from 33 matches) and AS Cotonou sit 8th (46 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | AS Cotonou | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 19 | 46 |
| 9 | Hodio | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 31 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hodio vs AS Cotonou?
- The Footlab model makes Hodio the favourite at 38%, against 35% for a draw and 27% for AS Cotonou.
- Where and when is Hodio vs AS Cotonou played?
- Hodio vs AS Cotonou is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Comè, in the Championnat National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.