Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion u Červených domků, Hodonín
The Footlab model makes Hodonín the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Frýdek-Místek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Hodonín (1,826) and Frýdek-Místek (1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hodonín have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Frýdek-Místek have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zlín II(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Líšeň II(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bzenec(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blansko(away) | 3-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slovácko II(home) | 1-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unie Hlubina(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vsetín(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno II(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hranice(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hodonín win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Frýdek-Místek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Frýdek-Místek 1-1 Hodonín | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Hodonín 2-1 Frýdek-Místek | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Hodonín 1-2 Frýdek-Místek | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Frýdek-Místek 3-0 Hodonín | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Hodonín 1-1 Frýdek-Místek | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Frýdek-Místek 0-1 Hodonín | 3. liga - MSFL |
Last archived meeting: Frýdek-Místek vs Hodonín on May 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hodonín score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Frýdek-Místek score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hodonín | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Frýdek-Místek | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hodonín sit 13th in 3. liga - MSFL (2 points from 4 matches) and Frýdek-Místek sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frýdek-Místek | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Hodonín | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek?
- The Footlab model makes Hodonín the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Frýdek-Místek.
- Where and when is Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek played?
- Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion u Červených domků, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.