Vítkovice vs Karviná II: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Areál SC Vista, Ostrava
The Footlab model makes Vítkovice the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Karviná II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vítkovice vs Karviná II?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Vítkovice (1,767) and Karviná II (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vítkovice have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Karviná II have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vrchovina(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(away) | 0-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Nové Sady(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havířov(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Uherský Brod(away) | 1-4 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Havířov(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Uherský Brod(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Uničov(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tatran Krásno(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Vítkovice win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Karviná II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Karviná II 1-1 Vítkovice | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Vítkovice 2-1 Karviná II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 19, 2023 | Karviná II 5-0 Vítkovice | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 8, 2022 | Vítkovice 4-2 Karviná II | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Karviná II 0-1 Vítkovice | 4. liga - Divizie F |
Last archived meeting: Karviná II vs Vítkovice on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vítkovice score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karviná II score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vítkovice | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Karviná II | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vítkovice sit 14th in 3. liga - MSFL (2 points from 4 matches) and Karviná II sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Karviná II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 14 | Vítkovice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vítkovice vs Karviná II?
- The Footlab model makes Vítkovice the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Karviná II.
- Where and when is Vítkovice vs Karviná II played?
- Vítkovice vs Karviná II is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Areál SC Vista, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.