Havířov vs Sigma Olomouc II: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:15 AM (UTC)Stadion Dukla, Havířov
The Footlab model makes Sigma Olomouc II the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Havířov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Havířov vs Sigma Olomouc II?
Sigma Olomouc II starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,873 vs 1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havířov have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Sigma Olomouc II have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hranice(away) | 0-6 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karviná II(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Belotin(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vítkovice(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zlín II(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Blansko(home) | 3-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unie Hlubina(away) | 3-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko II(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vsetín(away) | 5-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Havířov score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sigma Olomouc II score 2.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havířov | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Sigma Olomouc II | 2.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Havířov sit 16th in 3. liga - MSFL (2 points from 4 matches) and Sigma Olomouc II sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sigma Olomouc II | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 12 |
| 16 | Havířov | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Havířov vs Sigma Olomouc II?
- The Footlab model makes Sigma Olomouc II the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Havířov.
- Where and when is Havířov vs Sigma Olomouc II played?
- Havířov vs Sigma Olomouc II is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:15 AM (UTC) at Stadion Dukla, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.