Spakenburg vs Kozakken Boys: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), Bunschoten
The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Kozakken Boys. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spakenburg vs Kozakken Boys?
Spakenburg starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,903 vs 1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spakenburg have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Kozakken Boys have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kloetinge(away) | 3-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Quick Boys(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | HHC(away) | 3-3 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Spakenburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Kozakken Boys win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Spakenburg 3-4 Kozakken Boys | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Kozakken Boys 1-2 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Kozakken Boys 0-3 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Spakenburg 3-1 Kozakken Boys | Tweede Divisie |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Spakenburg 1-1 Kozakken Boys | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Kozakken Boys 5-5 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Spakenburg vs Kozakken Boys on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kozakken Boys score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spakenburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Kozakken Boys | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spakenburg sit 9th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Kozakken Boys sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spakenburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Kozakken Boys | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spakenburg vs Kozakken Boys?
- The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Kozakken Boys.
- Where and when is Spakenburg vs Kozakken Boys played?
- Spakenburg vs Kozakken Boys is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027KatwijkvsQuick Boys
- Mar 13, 2027RKAV VolendamvsROHDA Raalte
- Mar 13, 2027Koninklijke HFCvsIjsselmeervogels
- Mar 13, 2027Rijnsburgse BoysvsGVVV Veenendaal
- Mar 13, 2027BarendrechtvsDe Treffers
- Mar 13, 2027HoekvsAFC Amsterdam
- Mar 13, 2027HHCvsKloetinge
- Mar 13, 2027Almere City IIvsSparta Rotterdam II