Hoek vs Barendrecht: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Denoek, Hoek
The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Barendrecht. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hoek vs Barendrecht?
Hoek starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,814).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoek have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Barendrecht have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Katwijk(away) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 3-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jul 15, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 2-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(home) | 2-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | HHC(home) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 2-5 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 4-2 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hoek win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Barendrecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Barendrecht 4-2 Hoek | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Hoek 1-1 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Hoek 1-3 Barendrecht | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Barendrecht 3-4 Hoek | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Barendrecht 5-4 Hoek | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Hoek 1-5 Barendrecht | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Barendrecht score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoek | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Barendrecht | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hoek sit 6th in Tweede Divisie (4 points from 2 matches) and Barendrecht sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hoek | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Barendrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hoek vs Barendrecht?
- The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Barendrecht.
- Where and when is Hoek vs Barendrecht played?
- Hoek vs Barendrecht is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Denoek, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027KatwijkvsSparta Rotterdam II
- Feb 13, 2027RKAV VolendamvsKloetinge
- Feb 13, 2027Koninklijke HFCvsDe Treffers
- Feb 13, 2027Rijnsburgse BoysvsKozakken Boys
- Feb 13, 2027SpakenburgvsAlmere City II
- Feb 13, 2027GVVV VeenendaalvsIjsselmeervogels
- Feb 13, 2027HHCvsAFC Amsterdam
- Feb 13, 2027ROHDA RaaltevsQuick Boys