Where and when is Barendrecht vs Hoek played?

Barendrecht vs Hoek is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Bongerd, in the Tweede Divisie.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Barendrecht vs Hoek: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Bongerd, Barendrecht

Barendrecht

Hoek

The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Barendrecht. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barendrecht vs Hoek?

Hoek starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,959 vs 1,828).

Barendrecht win27 %

Draw21 %

Hoek win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barendrecht have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Hoek have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barendrecht
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Koninklijke HFC(away)	2-1	Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026	HHC(home)	1-3	Tweede Divisie
May 23, 2026	Excelsior Maassluis(home)	1-2	Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026	RKAV Volendam(away)	2-5	Tweede Divisie
May 9, 2026	Hoek(home)	4-2	Tweede Divisie

Hoek
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Katwijk(away)	1-1	Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026	Koninklijke HFC(home)	3-1	Tweede Divisie
Jul 15, 2026	NAC Breda(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	De Treffers(away)	2-2	Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026	Rijnsburgse Boys(home)	2-0	Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Barendrecht win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hoek win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Barendrecht 4-2 Hoek	Tweede Divisie
Nov 29, 2025	Hoek 1-1 Barendrecht	Tweede Divisie
Mar 2, 2024	Hoek 1-3 Barendrecht	Derde Divisie - Sunday
Sep 30, 2023	Barendrecht 3-4 Hoek	Derde Divisie - Sunday
Jan 21, 2023	Barendrecht 5-4 Hoek	Derde Divisie
Aug 27, 2022	Hoek 1-5 Barendrecht	Derde Divisie

Last archived meeting: Barendrecht vs Hoek on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Barendrecht score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Barendrecht	1.9	2.4	1	12/15	14/15
Hoek	1.9	1.4	3	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Barendrecht sit 11th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Hoek sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hoek	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
11	Barendrecht	2	1	0	1	3	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barendrecht vs Hoek?: The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Barendrecht.
Where and when is Barendrecht vs Hoek played?: Barendrecht vs Hoek is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Bongerd, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.