Match

Almere City II vs Hoek: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Yanmar Stadion, Almere

Almere City IIHoek

The Footlab model makes Almere City II the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Hoek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almere City II vs Hoek?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Almere City II (1,909) and Hoek (1,945).

Almere City II win41 %
Draw23 %
Hoek win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almere City II have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Hoek have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almere City II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026HHC(away)1-2Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Rijnsburgse Boys(home)4-0Tweede Divisie
May 23, 2026GVVV Veenendaal(home)5-4Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026Excelsior Maassluis(away)1-0Tweede Divisie
May 9, 2026RKAV Volendam(home)3-2Tweede Divisie
Hoek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Katwijk(away)1-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Koninklijke HFC(home)3-1Tweede Divisie
Jul 15, 2026NAC Breda(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026De Treffers(away)2-2Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026Rijnsburgse Boys(home)2-0Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Almere City II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hoek win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Hoek 4-0 Almere City IITweede Divisie
Nov 22, 2025Almere City II 1-2 HoekTweede Divisie
Dec 14, 2019Almere City II 4-1 HoekDerde Divisie

Last archived meeting: Hoek vs Almere City II on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almere City II score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Almere City II1.92.139/1513/15
Hoek1.91.4311/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almere City II sit 7th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Hoek sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hoek2110424
7Almere City II2101523

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almere City II vs Hoek?
The Footlab model makes Almere City II the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Hoek.
Where and when is Almere City II vs Hoek played?
Almere City II vs Hoek is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Yanmar Stadion, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Almere City II and Hoek

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