Hoek vs Ijsselmeervogels: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Denoek, Hoek
The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Ijsselmeervogels. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hoek vs Ijsselmeervogels?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Hoek (1,959) and Ijsselmeervogels (1,865).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoek have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Ijsselmeervogels have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Katwijk(away) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 3-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jul 15, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 2-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(home) | 2-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Quick Boys(home) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kozakken Boys(away) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | EVV(home) | 10-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 1-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hoek win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ijsselmeervogels win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels 2-1 Hoek | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Hoek 2-1 Ijsselmeervogels | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2022 | Ijsselmeervogels 0-0 Hoek | KNVB Beker |
Last archived meeting: Ijsselmeervogels vs Hoek on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ijsselmeervogels score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoek | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Ijsselmeervogels | 2.3 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hoek sit 6th in Tweede Divisie (4 points from 2 matches) and Ijsselmeervogels sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hoek | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Ijsselmeervogels | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hoek vs Ijsselmeervogels?
- The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Ijsselmeervogels.
- Where and when is Hoek vs Ijsselmeervogels played?
- Hoek vs Ijsselmeervogels is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Denoek, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.