Match

Hoek vs Sparta Rotterdam II: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Denoek, Hoek

HoekSparta Rotterdam II

The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Sparta Rotterdam II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hoek vs Sparta Rotterdam II?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Hoek (1,945) and Sparta Rotterdam II (1,861).

Hoek win54 %
Draw21 %
Sparta Rotterdam II win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoek have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam II have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hoek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Katwijk(away)1-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Koninklijke HFC(home)3-1Tweede Divisie
Jul 15, 2026NAC Breda(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026De Treffers(away)2-2Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026Rijnsburgse Boys(home)2-0Tweede Divisie
Sparta Rotterdam II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rijnsburgse Boys(away)6-3Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026ROHDA Raalte(home)6-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 8, 2026Excelsior Maassluis(away)2-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Jong AZ(home)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jun 10, 2026Groningen U21(home)3-2Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hoek win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sparta Rotterdam II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Sparta Rotterdam II 1-4 HoekTweede Divisie
Sep 6, 2025Hoek 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam IITweede Divisie

Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam II vs Hoek on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam II score 2.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hoek1.91.4311/1510/15
Sparta Rotterdam II2.72.4212/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hoek sit 6th in Tweede Divisie (4 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam II sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Sparta Rotterdam II22001246
6Hoek2110424

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hoek vs Sparta Rotterdam II?
The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Sparta Rotterdam II.
Where and when is Hoek vs Sparta Rotterdam II played?
Hoek vs Sparta Rotterdam II is played on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Denoek, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hoek and Sparta Rotterdam II

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