Hohenwestedt vs Heider SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 20Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Wilhelmshöh, Hohenwestedt
The Footlab model makes Hohenwestedt the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for Heider SV. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hohenwestedt vs Heider SV?
Heider SV starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,664).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hohenwestedt have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Heider SV have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SV Eichede(home) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(away) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rotenhof(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hohenwestedt win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Heider SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heider SV 1-1 Hohenwestedt | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Heider SV 4-2 Hohenwestedt | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Hohenwestedt 1-3 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Hohenwestedt 2-2 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Heider SV 3-2 Hohenwestedt | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 11, 2024 | Hohenwestedt 1-1 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Heider SV vs Hohenwestedt on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hohenwestedt score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Heider SV score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hohenwestedt | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Heider SV | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hohenwestedt sit 12th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (5 points from 5 matches) and Heider SV sit 13th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hohenwestedt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 5 |
| 13 | Heider SV | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hohenwestedt vs Heider SV?
- The Footlab model makes Hohenwestedt the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for Heider SV.
- Where and when is Hohenwestedt vs Heider SV played?
- Hohenwestedt vs Heider SV is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Wilhelmshöh, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.