Union Neumünster vs Oldenburger SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 20Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Stettiner Straße, Neumünster
The Footlab model makes Union Neumünster the favourite at 55%, against 18% for a draw and 27% for Oldenburger SV. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Neumünster vs Oldenburger SV?
Union Neumünster starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,821 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Neumünster have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Oldenburger SV have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rotenhof(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lübeck II(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Union Neumünster win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Oldenburger SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oldenburger SV 1-4 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 16, 2026 | Union Neumünster 5-3 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Oldenburger SV 1-3 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Union Neumünster 4-2 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Oldenburger SV 0-4 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 4, 2024 | Union Neumünster 5-1 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Oldenburger SV vs Union Neumünster on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Oldenburger SV score 1.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Neumünster | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Oldenburger SV | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Neumünster sit 8th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (8 points from 5 matches) and Oldenburger SV sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Union Neumünster | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| 9 | Oldenburger SV | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Neumünster vs Oldenburger SV?
- The Footlab model makes Union Neumünster the favourite at 55%, against 18% for a draw and 27% for Oldenburger SV.
- Where and when is Union Neumünster vs Oldenburger SV played?
- Union Neumünster vs Oldenburger SV is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Stettiner Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.