Heider SV vs TSB Flensburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Meldorfer Straße, Heide
The Footlab model makes Heider SV the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for TSB Flensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heider SV vs TSB Flensburg?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Heider SV (1,784) and TSB Flensburg (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heider SV have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; TSB Flensburg have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Heider SV win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 TSB Flensburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Heider SV 4-1 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 19, 2024 | TSB Flensburg 0-5 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Heider SV 1-1 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 2, 2023 | TSB Flensburg 2-2 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Heider SV 2-4 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 3, 2022 | TSB Flensburg 4-2 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Heider SV vs TSB Flensburg on May 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Heider SV score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; TSB Flensburg score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heider SV | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| TSB Flensburg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heider SV sit 13th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (4 points from 5 matches) and TSB Flensburg sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 13 | Heider SV | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heider SV vs TSB Flensburg?
- The Footlab model makes Heider SV the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for TSB Flensburg.
- Where and when is Heider SV vs TSB Flensburg played?
- Heider SV vs TSB Flensburg is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Meldorfer Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.