Hohenwestedt vs Kaltenkirchen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Wilhelmshöh, Hohenwestedt
The Footlab model makes Kaltenkirchen the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Hohenwestedt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hohenwestedt vs Kaltenkirchen?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Hohenwestedt (1,664) and Kaltenkirchen (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hohenwestedt have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Kaltenkirchen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SV Eichede(home) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(away) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rotenhof(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Eichede(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hohenwestedt win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kaltenkirchen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Hohenwestedt 2-0 Kaltenkirchen | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Kaltenkirchen 1-1 Hohenwestedt | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Hohenwestedt vs Kaltenkirchen on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hohenwestedt score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kaltenkirchen score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hohenwestedt | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Kaltenkirchen | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hohenwestedt sit 12th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (5 points from 5 matches) and Kaltenkirchen sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kaltenkirchen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 12 | Hohenwestedt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hohenwestedt vs Kaltenkirchen?
- The Footlab model makes Kaltenkirchen the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Hohenwestedt.
- Where and when is Hohenwestedt vs Kaltenkirchen played?
- Hohenwestedt vs Kaltenkirchen is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Wilhelmshöh, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.