Union Neumünster vs Nordmark Satrup: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Stettiner Straße, Neumünster
The Footlab model makes Union Neumünster the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Nordmark Satrup. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Neumünster vs Nordmark Satrup?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Union Neumünster (1,823) and Nordmark Satrup (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Neumünster have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Nordmark Satrup have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rotenhof(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lübeck II(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Union Neumünster win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nordmark Satrup win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Union Neumünster 2-5 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Nordmark Satrup 1-5 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Union Neumünster 1-0 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Nordmark Satrup 0-2 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Union Neumünster 4-1 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Nordmark Satrup 1-2 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Union Neumünster vs Nordmark Satrup on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nordmark Satrup score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Neumünster | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Nordmark Satrup | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Neumünster sit 8th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (8 points from 5 matches) and Nordmark Satrup sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nordmark Satrup | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | Union Neumünster | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Neumünster vs Nordmark Satrup?
- The Footlab model makes Union Neumünster the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Nordmark Satrup.
- Where and when is Union Neumünster vs Nordmark Satrup played?
- Union Neumünster vs Nordmark Satrup is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Stettiner Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.