Kilia Kiel vs Lübeck II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kilia-Platz, Kiel
The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 84%, against 10% for a draw and 6% for Lübeck II. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kilia Kiel vs Lübeck II?
Kilia Kiel starts as the favourite with a 284-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,642).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kilia Kiel have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Lübeck II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Kilia Kiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lübeck II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | Lübeck II 1-1 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Kilia Kiel 4-2 Lübeck II | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Kilia Kiel 8-0 Lübeck II | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Lübeck II 1-6 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Lübeck II vs Kilia Kiel on Mar 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kilia Kiel score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lübeck II score 2.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilia Kiel | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Lübeck II | 2.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kilia Kiel sit 7th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (8 points from 5 matches) and Lübeck II sit 16th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kilia Kiel | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 16 | Lübeck II | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kilia Kiel vs Lübeck II?
- The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 84%, against 10% for a draw and 6% for Lübeck II.
- Where and when is Kilia Kiel vs Lübeck II played?
- Kilia Kiel vs Lübeck II is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kilia-Platz, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.