Holstein Kiel II vs Nordmark Satrup: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 21Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Citti Fussball Park - Projensdorf (Platz A), Kiel
The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel II the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Nordmark Satrup. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holstein Kiel II vs Nordmark Satrup?
Holstein Kiel II starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel II have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Nordmark Satrup have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lübeck II(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Heider SV(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lübeck II(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Holstein Kiel II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Nordmark Satrup win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II 6-0 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Nordmark Satrup 0-3 Holstein Kiel II | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Holstein Kiel II vs Nordmark Satrup on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holstein Kiel II score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nordmark Satrup score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel II | 3.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Nordmark Satrup | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holstein Kiel II sit 3rd in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (10 points from 5 matches) and Nordmark Satrup sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Holstein Kiel II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Nordmark Satrup | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel II vs Nordmark Satrup?
- The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel II the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Nordmark Satrup.
- Where and when is Holstein Kiel II vs Nordmark Satrup played?
- Holstein Kiel II vs Nordmark Satrup is played on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Citti Fussball Park - Projensdorf (Platz A), in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.