Kilia Kiel vs Union Neumünster: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kilia-Platz, Kiel
The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 20% for Union Neumünster. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kilia Kiel vs Union Neumünster?
Kilia Kiel starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kilia Kiel have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Union Neumünster have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rotenhof(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kilia Kiel win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Union Neumünster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Union Neumünster 0-2 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Kilia Kiel 3-3 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Kilia Kiel 4-2 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Union Neumünster 0-1 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Kilia Kiel 1-1 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Union Neumünster 1-2 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Union Neumünster vs Kilia Kiel on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kilia Kiel score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Union Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilia Kiel | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Union Neumünster | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kilia Kiel sit 7th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (8 points from 5 matches) and Union Neumünster sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kilia Kiel | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 8 | Union Neumünster | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kilia Kiel vs Union Neumünster?
- The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 20% for Union Neumünster.
- Where and when is Kilia Kiel vs Union Neumünster played?
- Kilia Kiel vs Union Neumünster is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kilia-Platz, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.