Holstein Kiel II vs Rotenhof: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Citti Fussball Park - Projensdorf (Platz A), Kiel
The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel II the favourite at 82%, against 11% for a draw and 7% for Rotenhof. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holstein Kiel II vs Rotenhof?
Holstein Kiel II starts as the favourite with a 250-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel II have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Rotenhof have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lübeck II(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Heider SV(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union Neumünster(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Holstein Kiel II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Rotenhof win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Rotenhof 1-3 Holstein Kiel II | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Holstein Kiel II 2-2 Rotenhof | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Rotenhof vs Holstein Kiel II on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holstein Kiel II score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rotenhof score 1.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel II | 3.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Rotenhof | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holstein Kiel II sit 3rd in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (10 points from 5 matches) and Rotenhof sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Holstein Kiel II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 |
| 11 | Rotenhof | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel II vs Rotenhof?
- The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel II the favourite at 82%, against 11% for a draw and 7% for Rotenhof.
- Where and when is Holstein Kiel II vs Rotenhof played?
- Holstein Kiel II vs Rotenhof is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Citti Fussball Park - Projensdorf (Platz A), in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.