Kaltenkirchen vs TSB Flensburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Kaltenkirchen the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for TSB Flensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaltenkirchen vs TSB Flensburg?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Kaltenkirchen (1,756) and TSB Flensburg (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaltenkirchen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; TSB Flensburg have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Eichede(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
How many goals should we expect?
Kaltenkirchen score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; TSB Flensburg score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaltenkirchen | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| TSB Flensburg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaltenkirchen sit 10th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (6 points from 5 matches) and TSB Flensburg sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Kaltenkirchen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaltenkirchen vs TSB Flensburg?
- The Footlab model makes Kaltenkirchen the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for TSB Flensburg.
- Where and when is Kaltenkirchen vs TSB Flensburg played?
- Kaltenkirchen vs TSB Flensburg is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.