Eckernförder SV vs Heider SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadtwerke Arena, Eckernförde
The Footlab model makes Heider SV the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Eckernförder SV. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eckernförder SV vs Heider SV?
Heider SV starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,786 vs 1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eckernförder SV have 2 wins, 0 draws and 13 defeats; Heider SV have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lübeck II(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 17, 2025 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Eckernförder SV win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Heider SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Eckernförder SV 0-5 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Heider SV 2-1 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 18, 2024 | Heider SV 6-0 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2023 | Eckernförder SV 0-2 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Eckernförder SV 1-2 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Heider SV 2-0 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Eckernförder SV vs Heider SV on May 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Eckernförder SV score 1.3 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Heider SV score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eckernförder SV | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Heider SV | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eckernförder SV sit 14th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (3 points from 5 matches) and Heider SV sit 13th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heider SV | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
| 14 | Eckernförder SV | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eckernförder SV vs Heider SV?
- The Footlab model makes Heider SV the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Eckernförder SV.
- Where and when is Eckernförder SV vs Heider SV played?
- Eckernförder SV vs Heider SV is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadtwerke Arena, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.