Holstein Kiel U19 vs St. Pauli U19: prediction and stats
U19 BundesligaPreliminaryKick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Citti Fussball Park - Projensdorf (Platz A), Kiel
The Footlab AI model makes St. Pauli U19 the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Holstein Kiel U19. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holstein Kiel U19 vs St. Pauli U19?
St. Pauli U19 starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,590 vs 1,404).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Holstein Kiel U19 vs St. Pauli U19
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Holstein Kiel U19
Not enough data to predict the Holstein Kiel U19 lineup.
St. Pauli U19
Not enough data to predict the St. Pauli U19 lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel U19 have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; St. Pauli U19 have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | BAK 07 U19(away) | 2-3 | U19 Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Magdeburg U19(home) | 0-2 | U19 Bundesliga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kaiserslautern U19(away) | 1-3 | DFB Junioren Pokal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hansa Rostock U19(away) | 4-4 | U19 Bundesliga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hamburger SV U19(home) | 0-2 | U19 Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hansa Rostock U19(home) | 3-2 | U19 Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Werder Bremen U19(home) | 1-3 | U19 Bundesliga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Köln U19(home) | 1-2 | DFB Junioren Pokal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | BAK 07 U19(away) | 1-0 | U19 Bundesliga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hansa Rostock U19(away) | 1-1 | U19 Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Holstein Kiel U19 win, 1 draw, 4 St. Pauli U19 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Holstein Kiel U19 0-2 St. Pauli U19 | U19 Bundesliga |
| Aug 10, 2025 | St. Pauli U19 1-2 Holstein Kiel U19 | U19 Bundesliga |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Holstein Kiel U19 1-1 St. Pauli U19 | U19 Bundesliga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | St. Pauli U19 3-2 Holstein Kiel U19 | U19 Bundesliga |
| Apr 1, 2023 | St. Pauli U19 2-1 Holstein Kiel U19 | U19 Bundesliga |
| Dec 4, 2022 | St. Pauli U19 3-0 Holstein Kiel U19 | U19 Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Holstein Kiel U19 vs St. Pauli U19 on Oct 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Holstein Kiel U19 score 1.3 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; St. Pauli U19 score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel U19 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| St. Pauli U19 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holstein Kiel U19 sit 3rd in U19 Bundesliga (23 points from 12 matches) and St. Pauli U19 sit 1st (30 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Pauli U19Group B | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 41 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 | Holstein Kiel U19Group A | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 23 |
A question about Holstein Kiel U19 vs St. Pauli U19?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel U19 vs St. Pauli U19?
- The Footlab AI model makes St. Pauli U19 the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Holstein Kiel U19.
- Where and when is Holstein Kiel U19 vs St. Pauli U19 played?
- Holstein Kiel U19 vs St. Pauli U19 is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Citti Fussball Park - Projensdorf (Platz A), in the U19 Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Aug 7, 2026Rot-Weiß Erfurt U192-1RB Leipzig U19
- Aug 8, 2026Augsburg U190-2Freiburg U19
- Aug 8, 2026Nürnberg U192-4Eintracht Frankf U19
- Aug 8, 2026RW Oberhausen U192-4Borussia Dortmund U19
- Aug 8, 2026Ingolstadt U192-1Jahn Regensburg U19
- Aug 8, 2026Werder Bremen U193-1Holstein Kiel U19
- Aug 8, 2026Havelse U190-3Hannover 96 U19