Holzheimer SG vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 12Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Bezirkssportanlage Holzheim, Neuss
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf II the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Holzheimer SG. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holzheimer SG vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?
Fortuna Düsseldorf II starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,873 vs 1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holzheimer SG have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf II have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Schonnebeck(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | BW Dingden(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Homberg(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Holzheimer SG score 1.4 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf II score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holzheimer SG | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holzheimer SG sit 17th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf II sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Holzheimer SG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holzheimer SG vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf II the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Holzheimer SG.
- Where and when is Holzheimer SG vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II played?
- Holzheimer SG vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Bezirkssportanlage Holzheim, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.