Where and when is SC St. Tönis vs SF Baumberg played?

SC St. Tönis vs SF Baumberg is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Jahn-Sport-Anlage, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SC St. Tönis vs SF Baumberg: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 12Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Jahn-Sport-Anlage, Tönisvorst

SC St. Tönis

SF Baumberg

The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 49%, against 20% for a draw and 31% for SF Baumberg. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC St. Tönis vs SF Baumberg?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate SC St. Tönis (1,834) and SF Baumberg (1,753).

SC St. Tönis win49 %

Draw20 %

SF Baumberg win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC St. Tönis have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; SF Baumberg have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC St. Tönis
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Eintracht Frankfurt(home)	0-11	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Solingen-Wald(home)	3-2	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 15, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(home)	0-5	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Hilden(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Niederrhein

SF Baumberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Meerbusch(away)	4-2	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 15, 2026	Sonsbeck(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 18, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen(home)	0-7	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Büderich(away)	1-3	Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026	Biemenhorst(home)	7-1	Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SC St. Tönis win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SF Baumberg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	SC St. Tönis 0-0 SF Baumberg	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Nov 16, 2025	SF Baumberg 1-3 SC St. Tönis	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Feb 23, 2025	SF Baumberg 0-6 SC St. Tönis	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 11, 2024	SC St. Tönis 2-1 SF Baumberg	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Mar 10, 2024	SF Baumberg 1-0 SC St. Tönis	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 17, 2023	SC St. Tönis 2-5 SF Baumberg	Oberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: SC St. Tönis vs SF Baumberg on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC St. Tönis score 1.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; SF Baumberg score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SC St. Tönis	1.9	2.5	4	9/15	12/15
SF Baumberg	1.5	2.3	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC St. Tönis sit 9th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and SF Baumberg sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	SF Baumberg	2	1	1	0	5	3	4
9	SC St. Tönis	1	1	0	0	3	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC St. Tönis vs SF Baumberg?: The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 49%, against 20% for a draw and 31% for SF Baumberg.
Where and when is SC St. Tönis vs SF Baumberg played?: SC St. Tönis vs SF Baumberg is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Jahn-Sport-Anlage, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.