Holzheimer SG vs Scherpenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 14Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Bezirkssportanlage Holzheim, Neuss
The Footlab model makes Scherpenberg the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Holzheimer SG. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holzheimer SG vs Scherpenberg?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Holzheimer SG (1,709) and Scherpenberg (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holzheimer SG have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Scherpenberg have 1, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Schonnebeck(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | BW Dingden(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sonsbeck(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SW Essen(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Sonsbeck(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2020 | Sterkrade-Nord(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Holzheimer SG score 1.4 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Scherpenberg score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holzheimer SG | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Scherpenberg | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0 | 4/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holzheimer SG sit 17th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 2 matches) and Scherpenberg sit 2nd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Scherpenberg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | Holzheimer SG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holzheimer SG vs Scherpenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Scherpenberg the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Holzheimer SG.
- Where and when is Holzheimer SG vs Scherpenberg played?
- Holzheimer SG vs Scherpenberg is played on November 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Bezirkssportanlage Holzheim, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 27, 2026Wuppertaler SVvsSolingen-Wald
- Nov 27, 2026Germania RatingenvsViktoria Jüchen-Garz.
- Nov 27, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf IIvsSF Baumberg
- Nov 29, 2026BW DingdenvsSonsbeck
- Nov 29, 2026MonheimvsSSVg Velbert
- Nov 29, 2026SchonnebeckvsKFC Uerdingen 05
- Nov 29, 2026BüderichvsMeerbusch
- Nov 29, 2026SC St. TönisvsSW Essen