Match

Holzheimer SG vs SC St. Tönis: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 27Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Bezirkssportanlage Holzheim, Neuss

Holzheimer SGSC St. Tönis

The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Holzheimer SG. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holzheimer SG vs SC St. Tönis?

SC St. Tönis starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,706).

Holzheimer SG win30 %
Draw21 %
SC St. Tönis win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holzheimer SG have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; SC St. Tönis have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holzheimer SG
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Solingen-Wald(away)1-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 15, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05(home)1-5Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jun 7, 2026Schonnebeck(home)3-4Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026BW Dingden(away)0-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 17, 2026Germania Ratingen(home)2-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
SC St. Tönis
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)0-11DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Solingen-Wald(home)3-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 15, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Hilden(home)1-1Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Holzheimer SG win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 SC St. Tönis win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Holzheimer SG 0-5 SC St. TönisOberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 26, 2025SC St. Tönis 2-4 Holzheimer SGOberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: Holzheimer SG vs SC St. Tönis on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holzheimer SG score 1.4 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; SC St. Tönis score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holzheimer SG1.42.539/1512/15
SC St. Tönis1.92.549/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holzheimer SG sit 17th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 2 matches) and SC St. Tönis sit 9th (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9SC St. Tönis1100323
17Holzheimer SG2002270

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holzheimer SG vs SC St. Tönis?
The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Holzheimer SG.
Where and when is Holzheimer SG vs SC St. Tönis played?
Holzheimer SG vs SC St. Tönis is played on April 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Bezirkssportanlage Holzheim, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Holzheimer SG and SC St. Tönis

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