SC St. Tönis vs Holzheimer SG: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Jahn-Sport-Anlage, Tönisvorst
The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 56%, against 20% for a draw and 24% for Holzheimer SG. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC St. Tönis vs Holzheimer SG?
SC St. Tönis starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC St. Tönis have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Holzheimer SG have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-11 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hilden(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Schonnebeck(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | BW Dingden(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 SC St. Tönis win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Holzheimer SG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Holzheimer SG 0-5 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 26, 2025 | SC St. Tönis 2-4 Holzheimer SG | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: Holzheimer SG vs SC St. Tönis on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC St. Tönis score 1.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Holzheimer SG score 1.4 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC St. Tönis | 1.9 | 2.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Holzheimer SG | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC St. Tönis sit 9th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and Holzheimer SG sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SC St. Tönis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 | Holzheimer SG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC St. Tönis vs Holzheimer SG?
- The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 56%, against 20% for a draw and 24% for Holzheimer SG.
- Where and when is SC St. Tönis vs Holzheimer SG played?
- SC St. Tönis vs Holzheimer SG is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Jahn-Sport-Anlage, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 16, 2026Germania RatingenvsSonsbeck
- Oct 16, 2026Wuppertaler SVvsSW Essen
- Oct 16, 2026BW DingdenvsFortuna Düsseldorf II
- Oct 18, 2026SchonnebeckvsScherpenberg
- Oct 18, 2026MonheimvsMeerbusch
- Oct 18, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsKFC Uerdingen 05
- Oct 18, 2026Solingen-WaldvsSSVg Velbert
- Oct 18, 2026BüderichvsSF Baumberg