Match

SC St. Tönis vs Holzheimer SG: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Jahn-Sport-Anlage, Tönisvorst

SC St. TönisHolzheimer SG

The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 56%, against 20% for a draw and 24% for Holzheimer SG. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC St. Tönis vs Holzheimer SG?

SC St. Tönis starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,706).

SC St. Tönis win56 %
Draw20 %
Holzheimer SG win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC St. Tönis have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Holzheimer SG have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC St. Tönis
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)0-11DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Solingen-Wald(home)3-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 15, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Hilden(home)1-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Holzheimer SG
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Solingen-Wald(away)1-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 15, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05(home)1-5Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jun 7, 2026Schonnebeck(home)3-4Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026BW Dingden(away)0-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 17, 2026Germania Ratingen(home)2-2Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 SC St. Tönis win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Holzheimer SG win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Holzheimer SG 0-5 SC St. TönisOberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 26, 2025SC St. Tönis 2-4 Holzheimer SGOberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: Holzheimer SG vs SC St. Tönis on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC St. Tönis score 1.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Holzheimer SG score 1.4 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC St. Tönis1.92.549/1512/15
Holzheimer SG1.42.539/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC St. Tönis sit 9th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and Holzheimer SG sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9SC St. Tönis1100323
17Holzheimer SG2002270

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC St. Tönis vs Holzheimer SG?
The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 56%, against 20% for a draw and 24% for Holzheimer SG.
Where and when is SC St. Tönis vs Holzheimer SG played?
SC St. Tönis vs Holzheimer SG is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Jahn-Sport-Anlage, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SC St. Tönis and Holzheimer SG

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