Match

Holzheimer SG vs SSVg Velbert: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 28Kick-off on April 23, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Bezirkssportanlage Holzheim, Neuss

Holzheimer SGSSVg Velbert

The Footlab model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Holzheimer SG. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holzheimer SG vs SSVg Velbert?

SSVg Velbert starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,810 vs 1,706).

Holzheimer SG win34 %
Draw23 %
SSVg Velbert win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holzheimer SG have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; SSVg Velbert have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holzheimer SG
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Solingen-Wald(away)1-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 15, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05(home)1-5Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jun 7, 2026Schonnebeck(home)3-4Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026BW Dingden(away)0-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 17, 2026Germania Ratingen(home)2-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
SSVg Velbert
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SW Essen(away)4-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 16, 2026Wuppertaler SV(home)1-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 12, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)0-8Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Sportfreunde Siegen(away)1-3Regionalliga - West
May 8, 2026Paderborn II(home)1-3Regionalliga - West

How many goals should we expect?

Holzheimer SG score 1.4 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; SSVg Velbert score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holzheimer SG1.42.539/1512/15
SSVg Velbert1.32.1210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holzheimer SG sit 17th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 2 matches) and SSVg Velbert sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1SSVg Velbert2200516
17Holzheimer SG2002270

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holzheimer SG vs SSVg Velbert?
The Footlab model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Holzheimer SG.
Where and when is Holzheimer SG vs SSVg Velbert played?
Holzheimer SG vs SSVg Velbert is played on April 23, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Bezirkssportanlage Holzheim, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Holzheimer SG and SSVg Velbert

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