Home Stars vs Kotoku Royals: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ho Sports Stadium, Ho
The Footlab model makes Home Stars the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Kotoku Royals. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Home Stars vs Kotoku Royals?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Home Stars (1,489) and Kotoku Royals (1,421).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Home Stars have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Kotoku Royals have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Okwawu(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Great Olympics(away) | 0-2 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Golden Warriors(home) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Golden Kicks(away) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Nania(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2023 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Karela(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Tamale City(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| May 28, 2023 | Bibiani Gold Stars(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2023 | Asante Kotoko(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Home Stars score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kotoku Royals score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Stars | 0.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Kotoku Royals | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Home Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Home Stars vs Kotoku Royals?
- The Footlab model makes Home Stars the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Kotoku Royals.
- Where and when is Home Stars vs Kotoku Royals played?
- Home Stars vs Kotoku Royals is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ho Sports Stadium, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.