Hønefoss vs Tromsdalen Uil: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 2Regular Season - 21Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AKA Arena, Hønefoss
The Footlab model makes Hønefoss the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Tromsdalen Uil. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hønefoss vs Tromsdalen Uil?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Hønefoss (1,913) and Tromsdalen Uil (1,837).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hønefoss have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Tromsdalen Uil have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eik-Tønsberg(away) | 4-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(away) | 2-4 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ull/Kisa(home) | 9-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lørenskog(away) | 3-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Skeid(home) | 3-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Harstad(away) | 1-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lørenskog(home) | 2-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ull/Kisa(away) | 2-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Follo(home) | 0-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Eidsvold(away) | 1-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hønefoss win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Tromsdalen Uil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Tromsdalen Uil 0-3 Hønefoss | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Tromsdalen Uil 5-1 Hønefoss | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Hønefoss 2-3 Tromsdalen Uil | 2. Division - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Tromsdalen Uil vs Hønefoss on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hønefoss score 2.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tromsdalen Uil score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hønefoss | 2.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Tromsdalen Uil | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hønefoss sit 4th in 2. Division - Group 2 (32 points from 16 matches) and Tromsdalen Uil sit 8th (23 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hønefoss | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 24 | 32 |
| 8 | Tromsdalen Uil | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 27 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hønefoss vs Tromsdalen Uil?
- The Footlab model makes Hønefoss the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Tromsdalen Uil.
- Where and when is Hønefoss vs Tromsdalen Uil played?
- Hønefoss vs Tromsdalen Uil is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AKA Arena, in the 2. Division - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.