Kjelsås vs Follo: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 2Regular Season - 21Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Grefsen Stadion, Oslo
The Footlab model makes Kjelsås the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Follo. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kjelsås vs Follo?
Kjelsås is a heavy favourite: 1,934 Elo points against 1,622 — a 312-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kjelsås have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Follo have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frigg(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Junkeren(home) | 2-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eidsvold(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Levanger(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rana(away) | 3-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Råde(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rana(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Junkeren(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Trygg/Lade(home) | 1-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tromsdalen Uil(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Kjelsås win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Follo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Follo 1-4 Kjelsås | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Kjelsås 1-0 Follo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Kjelsås 3-1 Follo | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Follo 1-3 Kjelsås | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Follo 0-0 Kjelsås | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| May 4, 2024 | Kjelsås 2-0 Follo | 2. Division - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Kjelsås score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Follo score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kjelsås | 2.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Follo | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kjelsås sit 2nd in 2. Division - Group 2 (37 points from 16 matches) and Follo sit 13th (9 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kjelsås | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 21 | 37 |
| 13 | Follo | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kjelsås vs Follo?
- The Footlab model makes Kjelsås the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Follo.
- Where and when is Kjelsås vs Follo played?
- Kjelsås vs Follo is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Grefsen Stadion, in the 2. Division - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.