Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Hong Kong Football Club Stadium, Hong Kong
The Footlab AI model makes Kitchee the favourite at 88%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for Hong Kong FC. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,201 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee?
Kitchee is a heavy favourite: 1,647 Elo points against 1,171, a 476-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hong Kong FC
4-3-3- 67Cai McGunnigle
- 9Manuel Bleda
- 44J. Bennie
- 8Charlie Weston
- 5R. Hayashi
- 6M. H. Bah
- 19Yiu Ho-Ming
- 22Jim Ho Chun
- 4A. Dujardin
- 3C. Bloxham
- 25Poon Sheung Hei
Kitchee
4-2-3-1- 9Revilla
- 18Everton Camargo
- 15Camarasa
- 7R. Mingazow
- 30Walter
- 16Tan Chun Lok Mark
- 3Roger Riera
- 14Kam Chi Kin Jason
- 22C. Beattie
- 27Lam Jordan Lok Kan
- 17Pong Cheuk Hei
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 09:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hong Kong FC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Kitchee have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | North District(away) | 3-4 | League Cup |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Eastern(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Shatin(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kitchee(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Shatin(away) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Kowloon City(away) | 5-1 | League Cup |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(home) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(away) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 2-4 | Senior Shield |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hong Kong FC wins, 0 draws, 6 Kitchee wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kitchee 4-0 Hong Kong FC | Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Kitchee 5-2 Hong Kong FC | Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Hong Kong FC 1-2 Kitchee | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Kitchee 3-1 Hong Kong FC | Premier League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Hong Kong FC 1-3 Kitchee | Premier League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Kitchee 3-1 Hong Kong FC | Sapling Cup |
Last archived meeting: Kitchee vs Hong Kong FC on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hong Kong FC score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kitchee score 2.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hong Kong FC | 1.3 | 2.7 | 0 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
| Kitchee | 2.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hong Kong FC sit 5th in Premier League (11 points from 22 matches) and Kitchee sit 1st (52 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KitcheePremier League, Championship Round | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 54 | 28 | 52 |
| 5 | Hong Kong FCPlacement Round | 22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 60 | 11 |
A question about Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kitchee the favourite at 88%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for Hong Kong FC.
- Where and when is Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee played?
- Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee is played on December 20, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Hong Kong Football Club Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.