Eastern District vs Southern District: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Happy Valley Recreation Ground #1, Hong Kong
The Footlab AI model makes Southern District the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Eastern District. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southern District wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,593 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastern District vs Southern District?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Eastern District (1,344) and Southern District (1,429).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eastern District vs Southern District
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eastern District
4-3-3- 11Luizinho
- 7Michel Renner
- 17Leo
- 15Bruno Luiz
- 8C. Scott
- 16T. B. Kwok
- 13Li Ngai-Hoi
- 4Bruno Bianconi
- 5Hélio Gonçalves
- 3Sung Wang Ngai Kohki
- 23Paulo César
Southern District
4-3-3- 12Kak Yi Lai
- 22S. Golubović
- 9Poon Pui Hin
- 11S. Sasaki
- 99Cheng Tsz-Sum
- 10Wong Ho Chun Anson
- 2C. Hall
- 3Fabio Erins
- 16Chak Ting Fung
- 4K. Kawase
- 1Ng Wai Him
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastern District have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Southern District have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eastern(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Southern District(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kowloon City(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Southern District(away) | 1-2 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | North District(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-1 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Eastern District win, 2 draws, 3 Southern District wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Southern District 3-0 Eastern District | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Southern District 2-1 Eastern District | Senior Shield |
| May 9, 2026 | Southern District 2-2 Eastern District | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Eastern District 0-1 Southern District | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Southern District 1-1 Eastern District | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Southern District 1-4 Eastern District | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Southern District vs Eastern District on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eastern District score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Southern District score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern District | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Southern District | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastern District sit 3rd in Premier League (21 points from 22 matches) and Southern District sit 2nd (25 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Southern District | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 25 |
| 3 | Eastern District | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
A question about Eastern District vs Southern District?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastern District vs Southern District?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southern District the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Eastern District.
- Where and when is Eastern District vs Southern District played?
- Eastern District vs Southern District is played on March 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Happy Valley Recreation Ground #1, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.