Hong Kong vs Citizen AA: result 4-2 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 30, 2017 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Hong Kong Stadium, Hong Kong
Full time
What was the result of Hong Kong vs Citizen AA?
Hong Kong won 4-2 on September 30, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hong Kong have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Citizen AA have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2017 | Eastern District(home) | 4-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Wing Yee(away) | 4-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 10, 2017 | Hoi King(away) | 2-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 5, 2017 | Malaysia(away) | 1-1 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Resources Capital(away) | 4-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2017 | Sun Hei(home) | 0-5 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Eastern District(away) | 3-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 10, 2017 | Rangers(away) | 3-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Kwun Tong(home) | 3-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| May 14, 2017 | Yau Tsim Mong(away) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Hong Kong score 1.5 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Citizen AA score 1.9 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hong Kong | 1.5 | 2.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Citizen AA | 1.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Citizen AA | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 4 |
A question about Hong Kong vs Citizen AA?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy