Hoogstraten vs Tienen: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 18Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex Seminarie, Hoogstraten
The Footlab model makes Hoogstraten the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Tienen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hoogstraten vs Tienen?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Hoogstraten (1,876) and Tienen (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoogstraten have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Tienen have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ninove(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 5-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hoogstraten win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Tienen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tienen 1-1 Hoogstraten | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Hoogstraten 0-1 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Tienen 2-0 Hoogstraten | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Hoogstraten 0-0 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Tienen 3-0 Hoogstraten | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Hoogstraten 0-0 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Tienen vs Hoogstraten on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hoogstraten score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tienen score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoogstraten | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Tienen | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hoogstraten sit 6th in First Amateur Division (18 points from 11 matches) and Tienen sit 15th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hoogstraten | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 18 |
| 15 | Tienen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hoogstraten vs Tienen?
- The Footlab model makes Hoogstraten the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Tienen.
- Where and when is Hoogstraten vs Tienen played?
- Hoogstraten vs Tienen is played on January 16, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex Seminarie, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.