Dessel Sport vs Merelbeke: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 18Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Armand Melis Stadion, Dessel
The Footlab AI model makes Dessel Sport the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Merelbeke. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dessel Sport wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,392 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dessel Sport vs Merelbeke?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Dessel Sport (1,911) and Merelbeke (1,906).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dessel Sport vs Merelbeke
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dessel Sport
Not enough data to predict the Dessel Sport lineup.
Merelbeke
Not enough data to predict the Merelbeke lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 02:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dessel Sport have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Merelbeke have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(home) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(home) | 3-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Harelbeke(home) | 4-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Houtvenne(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dessel Sport wins, 2 draws, 0 Merelbeke wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Merelbeke 1-1 Dessel Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Dessel Sport 2-1 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Merelbeke 1-1 Dessel Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Merelbeke 1-5 Dessel Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Dessel Sport 3-1 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Merelbeke 0-2 Dessel Sport | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport on Sep 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dessel Sport score 2.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Merelbeke score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dessel Sport | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Merelbeke | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dessel Sport sit 7th in First Amateur Division (16 points from 11 matches) and Merelbeke sit 14th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dessel Sport | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 16 |
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Dessel Sport vs Merelbeke?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dessel Sport vs Merelbeke?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dessel Sport the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Merelbeke.
- Where and when is Dessel Sport vs Merelbeke played?
- Dessel Sport vs Merelbeke is played on January 16, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Armand Melis Stadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.