Harelbeke vs Heist: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Forestiersstadion, Harelbeke
The Footlab AI model makes Heist the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Harelbeke. The most likely score is 1-1. If Heist wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harelbeke vs Heist?
Heist starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,933 vs 1,833).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Harelbeke vs Heist
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Harelbeke
4-3-3- 18J. Kasmi
- 30G. Kyeremeh
- 8P. Stiers
- 6O. Van Mol
- 10Z. Yagan
- 12L. Dewaele
- 4P. De Smet
- 23N. Vandenbroucke
- 5W. Coopman
- 3K. Van Damme
- 38A. Galens
Heist
Not enough data to predict the Heist lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harelbeke have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Heist have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Thes Sport(home) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dessel Sport(away) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 3-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Harelbeke wins, 0 draws, 1 Heist win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Heist 2-1 Harelbeke | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Harelbeke score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Heist score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harelbeke | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Heist | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Harelbeke vs Heist?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harelbeke vs Heist?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heist the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Harelbeke.
- Where and when is Harelbeke vs Heist played?
- Harelbeke vs Heist is played on January 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Forestiersstadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.