Ceara vs Maracanã: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Maracanã. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceara vs Maracanã?
Ceara starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,726 vs 1,556).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ceara vs Maracanã
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ceara
4-2-3-1- 73Saulo Mineiro
- 81Joao Gabriel
- 25Vinicius Zanocelo
- 8Matheus Araújo
- 60Enzo
- 29Vina
- 18Júlio
- 12Sanchez
- 4Luiz Otávio
- 13Luiz Otávio
- 1Richard
Maracanã
Not enough data to predict the Maracanã lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceara have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Maracanã have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Avai(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Operario-PR(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Imperatriz(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Imperatriz(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | IAPE(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| May 30, 2026 | Moto Club(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| May 24, 2026 | Parnahyba(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Ceara wins, 1 draw, 0 Maracanã wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Ceara 4-0 Maracanã | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Maracanã 0-3 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Maracanã 1-1 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Ceara 2-1 Maracanã | Cearense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maracanã score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Maracanã | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceara sit 1st in Cearense - 1 (10 points from 4 matches) and Maracanã sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CearaCearense: Regular season | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | MaracanãCearense: Relegation Group | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
A question about Ceara vs Maracanã?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceara vs Maracanã?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Maracanã.
- Where and when is Ceara vs Maracanã played?
- Ceara vs Maracanã is played on January 10, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.