Hořovicko vs Komárov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie AGroup A - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Hořovice UMT, Hořovice
The Footlab model makes Hořovicko the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Komárov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hořovicko vs Komárov?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Hořovicko (1,585) and Komárov (1,646).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hořovicko have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Komárov have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Táborsko II(home) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Spartak Soběslav(away) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hluboka nad Vltavou(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rokycany(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Benešov(home) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Milevsko(away) | 0-0 | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Jiskra Domažlice(home) | 3-6 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Táborsko II(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Petřín Plzeň(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Milevsko(home) | 5-3 | 4. liga - Divizie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hořovicko win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Komárov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Komárov 1-1 Hořovicko | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Hořovicko 0-1 Komárov | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Hořovicko 2-4 Komárov | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Komárov 2-0 Hořovicko | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Hořovicko 1-0 Komárov | Cup |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Hořovicko 1-0 Komárov | 4. liga - Divizie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Hořovicko score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Komárov score 1.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hořovicko | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Komárov | 1.9 | 2.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hořovicko sit 7th in 4. liga - Divizie A (4 points from 3 matches) and Komárov sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hořovicko | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Komárov | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hořovicko vs Komárov?
- The Footlab model makes Hořovicko the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Komárov.
- Where and when is Hořovicko vs Komárov played?
- Hořovicko vs Komárov is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Hořovice UMT, in the 4. liga - Divizie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.