HT16 vs Buchholz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Legienstraße, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Buchholz the favourite at 42%, against 19% for a draw and 39% for HT16. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HT16 vs Buchholz?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate HT16 (1,814) and Buchholz (1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HT16 have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Buchholz have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 5-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sasel(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 2-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 12, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 HT16 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Buchholz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | HT16 2-3 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Buchholz 2-4 HT16 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
HT16 score 2.8 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Buchholz score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT16 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Buchholz | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HT16 sit 6th in Oberliga - Hamburg (57 points from 34 matches) and Buchholz sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | HT16 | 34 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 85 | 85 | 57 |
| 12 | Buchholz | 34 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 87 | 80 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HT16 vs Buchholz?
- The Footlab model makes Buchholz the favourite at 42%, against 19% for a draw and 39% for HT16.
- Where and when is HT16 vs Buchholz played?
- HT16 vs Buchholz is played on April 18, 2027 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Legienstraße, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.