Victoria Hamburg vs Concordia: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 30Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Hoheluft, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Victoria Hamburg the favourite at 68%, against 16% for a draw and 16% for Concordia. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Victoria Hamburg vs Concordia?
Victoria Hamburg starts as the favourite with a 258-point Elo edge (1,867 vs 1,609).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoria Hamburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Concordia have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 11, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 16, 2025 | Alsterbrüder(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Victoria Hamburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Concordia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2025 | Concordia 3-3 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Victoria Hamburg 3-3 Concordia | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Concordia 2-1 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Victoria Hamburg 4-3 Concordia | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Victoria Hamburg 3-5 Concordia | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 2, 2022 | Concordia 1-1 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Concordia vs Victoria Hamburg on Feb 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Victoria Hamburg score 2.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Concordia score 1.3 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Hamburg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Concordia | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Victoria Hamburg | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83 | 48 | 64 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Victoria Hamburg vs Concordia?
- The Footlab model makes Victoria Hamburg the favourite at 68%, against 16% for a draw and 16% for Concordia.
- Where and when is Victoria Hamburg vs Concordia played?
- Victoria Hamburg vs Concordia is played on April 16, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hoheluft, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.