HT16 vs HEBC: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Legienstraße, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes HT16 the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for HEBC. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HT16 vs HEBC?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate HT16 (1,817) and HEBC (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HT16 have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; HEBC have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 5-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HT16(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 HT16 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 HEBC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | HEBC 0-1 HT16 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 30, 2025 | HT16 1-2 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 3, 2025 | HEBC 0-5 HT16 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
HT16 score 2.8 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; HEBC score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT16 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| HEBC | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HT16 sit 6th in Oberliga - Hamburg (57 points from 34 matches) and HEBC sit 13th (38 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | HT16 | 34 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 85 | 85 | 57 |
| 13 | HEBC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 66 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HT16 vs HEBC?
- The Footlab model makes HT16 the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for HEBC.
- Where and when is HT16 vs HEBC played?
- HT16 vs HEBC is played on January 31, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Legienstraße, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 29, 2027HarksheidevsSasel
- Jan 29, 2027ETSV HamburgvsConcordia
- Jan 29, 2027Eintracht NorderstedtvsSüderelbe
- Jan 30, 2027Altona 93vsTus Dassendorf
- Jan 31, 2027PalomavsVictoria Hamburg
- Jan 31, 2027BuchholzvsTeutonia Ottensen
- Jan 31, 2027Niendorfer TSVvsVorwärts-Wacker 04
- Jan 31, 2027Nikola TeslavsPinneberg