Paloma vs Victoria Hamburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 09:45 AM (UTC)Jonny Rehbein Sportplatz, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Paloma the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Victoria Hamburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paloma vs Victoria Hamburg?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Paloma (1,907) and Victoria Hamburg (1,867).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paloma have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Victoria Hamburg have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 24, 2026 | HT16(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Türkiye(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 11, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Paloma win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Victoria Hamburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg 1-5 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Paloma 2-1 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Victoria Hamburg 3-3 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Paloma 2-0 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Victoria Hamburg 1-3 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Paloma 4-1 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Victoria Hamburg vs Paloma on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paloma score 2.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria Hamburg score 2.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paloma | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Victoria Hamburg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paloma sit 5th in Oberliga - Hamburg (61 points from 34 matches) and Victoria Hamburg sit 4th (64 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Victoria Hamburg | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83 | 48 | 64 |
| 5 | Paloma | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 84 | 50 | 61 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paloma vs Victoria Hamburg?
- The Footlab model makes Paloma the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Victoria Hamburg.
- Where and when is Paloma vs Victoria Hamburg played?
- Paloma vs Victoria Hamburg is played on January 31, 2027 at 09:45 AM (UTC) at Jonny Rehbein Sportplatz, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.