Where and when is HT16 vs Sasel played?

HT16 vs Sasel is played on September 20, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Legienstraße, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 88% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

HT16 vs Sasel: prediction and stats

Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Legienstraße, Hamburg

HT16

Sasel

The Footlab model makes HT16 the favourite at 41%, against 19% for a draw and 40% for Sasel. The most likely score is 2-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win HT16 vs Sasel?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate HT16 (1,817) and Sasel (1,799).

HT16 win41 %

Draw19 %

Sasel win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HT16 have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Sasel have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

HT16
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home)	5-1	Oberliga - Hamburg
Aug 16, 2026	HEBC(away)	1-0	Oberliga - Hamburg
Aug 2, 2026	Niendorfer TSV(away)	1-4	Oberliga - Hamburg
Jul 24, 2026	Paloma(home)	2-3	Oberliga - Hamburg
May 15, 2026	Harksheide(home)	5-4	Oberliga - Hamburg

Sasel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Harksheide(home)	3-1	Oberliga - Hamburg
Aug 1, 2026	Altona 93(away)	2-0	Oberliga - Hamburg
Jul 26, 2026	Buchholz(home)	0-4	Oberliga - Hamburg
May 15, 2026	Eimsbütteler TV(away)	0-4	Oberliga - Hamburg
May 10, 2026	HT16(home)	4-6	Oberliga - Hamburg

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 HT16 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sasel win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Sasel 4-6 HT16	Oberliga - Hamburg
Nov 7, 2025	HT16 1-1 Sasel	Oberliga - Hamburg

Last archived meeting: Sasel vs HT16 on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

HT16 score 2.8 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sasel score 2.5 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 88% probability of over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
HT16	2.8	2.6	3	10/15	12/15
Sasel	2.5	2.4	2	11/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

HT16 sit 6th in Oberliga - Hamburg (57 points from 34 matches) and Sasel sit 10th (50 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	HT16	34	18	3	13	85	85	57
10	Sasel	34	14	8	12	91	88	50

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for HT16 vs Sasel?: The Footlab model makes HT16 the favourite at 41%, against 19% for a draw and 40% for Sasel.
Where and when is HT16 vs Sasel played?: HT16 vs Sasel is played on September 20, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Legienstraße, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 88% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.