Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Süderelbe: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 8Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Öjendorfer Weg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Süderelbe the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Vorwärts-Wacker 04. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Süderelbe?
Süderelbe starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vorwärts-Wacker 04 have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Süderelbe have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HT16(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Paloma(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 8, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Süderelbe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Süderelbe 4-2 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 0-3 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 10, 2025 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 5-3 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Süderelbe 3-2 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Süderelbe vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04 on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vorwärts-Wacker 04 score 1.5 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Süderelbe score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Süderelbe | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vorwärts-Wacker 04 sit 14th in Oberliga - Hamburg (38 points from 34 matches) and Süderelbe sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Süderelbe | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 72 | 64 | 51 |
| 14 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 85 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Süderelbe?
- The Footlab model makes Süderelbe the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Vorwärts-Wacker 04.
- Where and when is Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Süderelbe played?
- Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Süderelbe is played on September 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Öjendorfer Weg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.